Tamil Nadu has seen a high voter turnout in 2011 assembly elections. Conventional wisdom suggests that a high percentage of voting is always bad for the incumbent party.Some exit polls seem to indicate trouble for DMK.
Over the weekend i had a conversation with someone who has a reasonable grasp of TN politics. His view was that the results may be much harder to predict. This election has turned into a battle between educated urban voters who were angry about the 2G scam and those in the rural areas that were big beneficiaries of the DMK's freebies.
DMK may be feeling a bit more confident about the loyalty of their rural vote bank, while AIADMK must be hoping for the backlash from educated voters to counter that.
With increasing swaths of the population getting better eduction and living more in urban areas, old fashioned rural vote bank politics is bound be less of a factor in elections. To what extent this is true in the current election cycle is to be gleaned from the results to be announced on May 13.
Over the weekend i had a conversation with someone who has a reasonable grasp of TN politics. His view was that the results may be much harder to predict. This election has turned into a battle between educated urban voters who were angry about the 2G scam and those in the rural areas that were big beneficiaries of the DMK's freebies.
DMK may be feeling a bit more confident about the loyalty of their rural vote bank, while AIADMK must be hoping for the backlash from educated voters to counter that.
With increasing swaths of the population getting better eduction and living more in urban areas, old fashioned rural vote bank politics is bound be less of a factor in elections. To what extent this is true in the current election cycle is to be gleaned from the results to be announced on May 13.
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